Low-hazard, low-price towns within 100 km of Nagoya
The Nobi plain carries wide expected inundation areas along the three Kiso rivers, and the whole Tokai region sits under a high expected intensity for the Nankai Trough earthquake. Few municipalities near Nagoya are low on both counts. This page takes everything within 100 km of Nagoya Station, applies a flood ceiling of 5.0% and an earthquake ceiling of 30.0%, and orders the result by median residential land price.
Of the 181 municipalities within 100 km, only 7 qualify, across 3 prefectures (Shiga, Gifu, Aichi). The cheapest is Shiga / 日野町 (14,800 JPY/m²) and the most expensive one still listed is Aichi / 長久手市 (173,000 JPY/m²). The plain drops out on flood and the Pacific side drops out on earthquake, so what remains lies on either side of the Suzuka mountains and in the hills of Mino.
| Municipality | Prefecture | Land price | Flood | Quake | Near Nagoya |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 日野町 | Shiga | 14,800 JPY/m² | 3.0% | 10.5% | 60.3 km |
| 甲賀市 | Shiga | 16,650 JPY/m² | 2.2% | 22.5% | 68.9 km |
| 中津川市 | Gifu | 28,600 JPY/m² | 0.0% | 23.9% | 66.3 km |
| 本巣市 | Gifu | 29,850 JPY/m² | 4.0% | 21.1% | 39.3 km |
| 瀬戸市 | Aichi | 65,800 JPY/m² | 3.5% | 24.7% | 19.3 km |
| 大津市 | Shiga | 77,350 JPY/m² | 3.4% | 13.1% | 95.0 km |
| 長久手市 | Aichi | 173,000 JPY/m² | 2.3% | 27.2% | 15.3 km |
How to read this table
The flood threshold of 5.0% means that the area expected to flood in a worst-case rainfall covers no more than 5.0% of the municipality. The area comes from the Hazard Map Portal tiles, clipped to the municipal boundary. A town can score badly because of wide farmland along a river, and a low ratio does not help if the house you buy sits inside the expected inundation area.
The earthquake threshold of 30.0% is the probability of shaking of Shindo 6-lower or above within 30 years, taken from the J-SHIS probabilistic seismic hazard map published by NIED. It is read at a single representative point, the town hall, so the ground under a particular plot can behave differently.
Land price is the median of the residential standard sites of the official land price survey (MLIT), aggregated per municipality. Municipalities with fewer than 4 samples are left out, because a single plot then moves the median. Their absence says nothing about how cheap or expensive they are.
Distance is measured in a straight line between Nagoya Station and the town hall. It is not travel time: at the same distance, a town on a shinkansen line and a town served only by a local line are hours apart in practice.
What the numbers do not tell you
All three conditions are rough figures for the municipality as a whole, not for the plot you would live on. Once you have a shortlist, check each address on the Hazard Map Portal's overlay map.
This table ignores landslide alert areas, tsunami inundation and snow depth. In mountain towns landslides matter, and on the Sea of Japan side snow shapes daily life. Add those conditions on the map to test a candidate.
A low land price is also a sign of low demand. Read it together with the population projection and the number of medical facilities: the municipality pages list every metric with its nationwide rank and its source.
Open the map with these conditions